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      极端干旱事件对长江流域生态流量达标情况影响分析

      Impact of extreme drought events on ecological flow compliance condition in Changjiang River Basin

      • 摘要: 为了揭示极端干旱事件对河湖生态流量保障情况的影响,以2022年长江流域极端干旱事件为例,借助降雨距平百分比评估2021~2023年逐月降水变化辨识干旱事件历程,并运用生态流量保证率、未达标断面百分比等指标深入分析干旱对生态流量达标情况的影响。研究发现:干旱导致长江流域的生态流量达标情况显著下降,且其影响进程与干旱进程不同步,存在2个月的滞时。干旱事件影响期间,长江流域生态流量未达标区域显著扩大,涉及数十个子流域,各流域未达标断面数量达到监测断面总数的50%以上,出现大范围生态流量不达标情况。研究成果揭示了干旱事件对长江流域生态流量达标情况时空特征的影响,可为流域管理提供支撑。

         

        Abstract: Tounderstand the impact of extreme drought events on the assurance of ecological flow in rivers and lakes, we took the extreme drought in 2022 in Changjiang River Basin as an example, the precipitation anomaly percentage from 2021 to 2023 was utilized to track the progression of the drought events, and the ecological flow guarantee rates and the percentage of non-compliant sections were employed as key indicators and conduct an in-depth analysis of the impact of drought on the achievement of ecological flow standards.Results revealed a substantial decline in ecological flow compliance condition in the basin due to the drought, with its progression not synchronizing with the meteorological drought process but exhibiting a lag of two months.Throughout the drought event, the area of ecological flow non-compliance in the Changjiang River Basin notably expanded, encompassing dozens of sub-basins, where the number of non-compliant sections reached over 50% of the total monitored sections, indicating widespread ecological flow non-compliance.The research results can reveal the spatiotemporal characteristics of the impact of drought events on ecological flow compliance in the Changjiang River Basin, providing support for river basin management.

         

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